The world is full of uncertainty: accidents, storms, unruly financial markets, noisy communications. The world is also full of data. Probabilistic modeling and the related field of statistical ...

We study the nonparametric maximum-likelihood estimator of the marginal distribution function in bivariate data with truncated sum (Woodroofe 1985), and calculate the probability that it will assign ...

This is The Week in Data, our data journalism roundup. Here you’ll find the most-read FiveThirtyEight articles of the past week, as well as gems we spotted elsewhere on the Internet. Mass shootings: ...

Researchers have developed a new technique that uses artificial intelligence to classify planets and, in turn, determine whether life may exist on other worlds. The new technique uses so-called ...

Ideally, therapeutic interventions are evaluated through randomized clinical trials. These trials are commonly analyzed with an intent-to-treat (ITT) approach, whereby patients are analyzed in their ...

Probability calculations determine the chance of a specific event occurring. This calculation factors in the number of positive events with respect to the total number of possible results. When you ...

In the pursuit of recognizing true talent, industries often face a critical question: How can one accurately measure ability and potential? Over time, traditional subjective assessments have shown ...